Serie A Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • goal Victor Osimhen 80'

Roma vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2022 5.30pm
Sampdoria 0 - 1 Roma
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Paulo Dybala

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Oct 16, 2022 5.00pm
Napoli 3 - 2 Bologna
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Victor Osimhen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result

Roma 31.09% (+0.19)
Draw 26.13% (-0.09)
Napoli 42.77% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.53% (+0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.21% (+0.41)
Under 2.5 51.79% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 26.44% (+0.35)
Under 3.5 73.55% (-0.35)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 69.15% (+0.34)
Under 0.5 30.85% (-0.34)
Over 1.5 32.87% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 67.13% (-0.39)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 75.97% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 24.03% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 41.71% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 58.29% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Roma 31.09%
Draw 26.13%
Napoli 42.77%
Roma
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 7.31% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.13% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.87% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.04% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.01% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 31.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.21% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 26.13%
Napoli
0-1 @ 10.57% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 8.86% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.54% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 4.21% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 42.77%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 18, 2022 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lorenzo Insigne 11' goal
  • Kalidou Koulibaly 37' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Zanoli 52' yellowcard
  • Hirving Lozano 63' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 17'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 71'
  • redcard Daniel Fuzato 79'
  • goal Stephan El Shaarawy 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 9
Oct 24, 2021 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jose Mourinho 19' yellowcard
  • Tammy Abraham 30' yellowcard
  • Jose Mourinho 82' yellowcard
  • Rick Karsdorp 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Jordan Veretout 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Mancini 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dries Mertens 90'+5'
  • redcard Luciano Spalletti 90'+6'
Serie A Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2021 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Ibanez 26' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Mancini 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Amadou Diawara 59' yellowcard
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 64' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Villar 85' yellowcard
  • goal Dries Mertens 27'
  • goal Dries Mertens 34'
  • yellowcard Piotr Zielinski 47'
  • yellowcard Kalidou Koulibaly 78'
  • yellowcard Victor Osimhen 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 9
Nov 29, 2020 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lorenzo Insigne 31' goal
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo 32' yellowcard
  • Fabian 64' goal
  • Dries Mertens 81' goal
  • Matteo Politano 86' goal
  • yellowcard Ibanez 29'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 77'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Jul 5, 2020 8.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio San Paolo
  • Diego Demme 7' yellowcard
  • Kalidou Koulibaly 49' yellowcard
  • Jose Callejon 55' goal
  • Lorenzo Insigne 82' goal
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Pellegrini 10'
  • goal Henrikh Mkhitaryan 60'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 65'
  • yellowcard Jordan Veretout 75'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 80'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Nov 2, 2019 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico (Roma)
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 19' goal
  • Jordan Veretout 55' goal
  • Justin Kluivert 77' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Spinazzola 86' yellowcard
  • Cengiz Under 93' yellowcard
  • Mert Cetin 93' yellowcard
  • Mert Cetin 95' redcard
  • goal Arkadiusz Milik 72'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Di Lorenzo 77'
  • yellowcard Mario Rui 78'
  • yellowcard Arkadiusz Milik 88'