Champions League
Oct 26, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Giovanni Simeone 11' goal
  • Giovanni Simeone 16' goal
  • Leo Skiri Oestigaard 80' goal

Napoli vs Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 12, 2022 5.45pm
Napoli 4 - 2 Ajax

Rangers

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 12, 2022 8.00pm
Rangers 1 - 7 Liverpool

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result

Napoli 48.58% (+0.03)
Draw 22.78% (-0.02)
Rangers 28.63% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.5% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.92% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 38.07% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 39.65% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 60.34% (-0.08)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 84.01% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 15.99% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 54.69% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 45.3% (-0.07)

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 74.4% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 25.59% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 39.52% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 60.47% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Napoli 48.58%
Draw 22.78%
Rangers 28.63%
Napoli
2-1 @ 9.37%
1-0 @ 7.5% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.88% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.73% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.2% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.9% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.93% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.79% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.66%
Total : 48.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.22% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.39% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.09% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.77% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.78%
Rangers
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.58% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.17% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.9% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 28.63%

Head to Head

Champions League
Sep 14, 2022 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Ibrox Stadium
  • goal Matteo Politano 68'
  • goal Giacomo Raspadori 85'
  • goal Tanguy Ndombele 90'+1'