Napoli logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Rangers logo

Napoli
3 - 0
Rangers

Simeone (11', 16'), Skiri Oestigaard (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Napoli and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 1-1 Livingston
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawRangers
48.58% (0.027999999999999 0.03)22.78% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)28.63% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.5% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.92% (0.069000000000003 0.07)38.07% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.65% (0.073 0.07)60.34% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.01% (0.033999999999992 0.03)15.99% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69% (0.065999999999995 0.07)45.3% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (0.025999999999996 0.03)25.59% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (0.033999999999999 0.03)60.47% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 48.58%
    Rangers 28.63%
    Draw 22.78%
NapoliDrawRangers
2-1 @ 9.37%
1-0 @ 7.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.9% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.93% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 48.58%
1-1 @ 10.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 28.63%

How you voted: Napoli vs Rangers

Napoli
87.9%
Draw
8.9%
Rangers
3.3%
305
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2022 8pm
Group A
Rangers
0-3
Napoli

Morelos (21')
Politano (68' pen.), Raspadori (85'), Ndombele (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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