Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 57.25%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 21.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.27%) and 0-1 (8.08%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Roma |
| 21.59% ( | 21.16% ( | 57.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.69% ( | 37.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.47% ( | 59.53% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.44% ( | 30.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.21% ( | 66.79% ( |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.09% ( | 12.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.66% ( | 39.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Roma |
| 2-1 @ 5.68% ( 1-0 @ 4.68% ( 2-0 @ 2.77% ( 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 3-1 @ 2.24% ( 3-0 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 21.59% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0-0 @ 3.95% ( 3-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.16% | 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-2 @ 8.27% ( 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 1-3 @ 6.69% ( 0-3 @ 5.64% ( 2-3 @ 3.96% ( 1-4 @ 3.42% ( 0-4 @ 2.89% ( 2-4 @ 2.03% ( 1-5 @ 1.4% ( 0-5 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 3.89% Total : 57.25% |