AZ Alkmaar
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PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Nov 12, 2022 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadium
AZ Alkmaar

PSV
0 - 1
AZ

FT(HT: 0-1)
Pavlidis (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-2 PSV
Sunday, November 6 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 3-1 AZ
Sunday, November 6 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.21%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 22.52% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.95%) and 1-0 (7.79%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAZ Alkmaar
56.21% (0.131 0.13)21.27% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)22.52% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 61.44% (0.215 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.36% (0.313 0.31)36.65% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.2% (0.34 0.34)58.8% (-0.338 -0.34)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (0.14400000000001 0.14)13% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.48% (0.287 0.29)39.52% (-0.283 -0.28)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (0.134 0.13)29.38% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.64% (0.16200000000001 0.16)65.37% (-0.158 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 56.21%
    AZ Alkmaar 22.52%
    Draw 21.27%
PSV EindhovenDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.95% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.62% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 4.06% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.38% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.76% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.07% (0.027 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.38% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.13% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 56.21%
1-1 @ 9.54% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.82% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.27%
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.68% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.87% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 22.52%

How you voted: PSV vs AZ

PSV Eindhoven
90.7%
Draw
4.7%
AZ Alkmaar
4.7%
43
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 7pm
PSV
1-2
AZ
Obispo (19')
Sangare (72'), Teze (74'), Gotze (90+1')
Martins Indi (40'), Karlsson (75')
Midtsjo (70'), Wijndal (72'), Hatzidiakos (72'), Sugawara (90')
Sep 11, 2021 8pm
AZ
0-3
PSV

Hatzidiakos (46'), Midtsjo (63')
Boscagli (14'), Vertessen (69'), Doan (83')
van Ginkel (20'), Obispo (78')
Mar 21, 2021 1.30pm
AZ
2-0
PSV
Karlsson (4'), Koopmeiners (68')

Sangare (73')
Jan 13, 2021 5.45pm
PSV
1-3
AZ
Max (59')
Rosario (26'), Dumfries (56'), Sangare (69')
Koopmeiners (31' pen., 39'), Stengs (90')
Hatzidiakos (58'), Martins Indi (68'), Wijndal (77')
Apr 21, 2020 5.30pm
AZ
P-P
PSV