Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 12

Oct 30, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
1 - 3
Salernitana

Zaccagni (41')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Candreva (51'), Fazio (68'), Dia (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Midtjylland
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Salernitana 1-0 Spezia
Saturday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 72.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.7%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Salernitana
72.37% ( 0.1)	17.08% ( -0.04)	10.55% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 47.9% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.31% (

0.01)

40.68% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.93% (

0.01)

63.07% (

-0.01)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.13% (

0.02)

9.87% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.27% (

0.06)

32.73% (

-0.06)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.15% (

-0.1)

46.84% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.63% (

-0.08)

82.37% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Lazio 72.35%

Salernitana 10.55%

Draw 17.08%

Lazio	Draw	Salernitana
2-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.7% 3-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.26% 4-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.95% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 72.35%	1-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 17.08%	0-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 10.55%