Europa League
Oct 27, 2022 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 36' goal
  • Pedro 58' goal
  • goal Gustav Isaksen 8'

Lazio vs FC Midtjylland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 13, 2022 8.00pm
Lazio 2 - 2 Sturm Graz

FC Midtjylland

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 13, 2022 5.45pm
Feyenoord 2 - 2 Midtjylland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.18%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 24.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.21%), while for a FC Midtjylland win it was 0-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lazio in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lazio.

Result

Lazio 46.18% (+0.19)
Draw 29.67% (-0.05)
FC Midtjylland 24.15% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.86% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 32.99% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 67.01% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 14.73% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 85.27% (-0.03)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 70.63% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 29.37% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 34.65% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 65.35% (-0.15)

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 0.5 55.01% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 44.99% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 19.08% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 80.92% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Lazio 46.17%
Draw 29.67%
FC Midtjylland 24.15%
Lazio
1-0 @ 16.18% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.92% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 7.92% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.05% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.24% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.24% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 46.17%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.21% (-0.01)
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 29.67%
FC Midtjylland
0-1 @ 10.55% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.22% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 24.15%

Head to Head

Europa League
Sep 15, 2022 5.45pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT MCH Arena
  • Paulinho 26' goal
  • Sory Kaba 30' goal
  • Evander 52' goal
  • Gustav Isaksen 67' goal
  • Erik Sviatchenko 72' goal
  • goal Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 57'