Danish Superliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 9, 2022 at 1pm UK
Ceres Park
Midtjylland

Aarhus
0 - 1
Midtjylland

FT(HT: 0-0)
Dreyer (87')
Coverage of the Danish Superliga clash between Aarhus and FC Midtjylland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aarhus

All competitions
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-0 Aarhus
Sunday, October 2 at 5pm in Danish Superliga

FC Midtjylland

All competitions
Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 2-2 Feyenoord
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for FC Midtjylland in this match.

Result
AarhusDrawFC Midtjylland
30.36% (-0.29 -0.29)25.22% (-0.121 -0.12)44.43% (0.411 0.41)
Both teams to score 55.15% (0.251 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.77% (0.396 0.4)48.23% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.61% (0.361 0.36)70.38% (-0.361 -0.36)
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44%29.56% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41%65.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (0.357 0.36)21.71% (-0.356 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13% (0.542 0.54)54.86% (-0.541 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Aarhus 30.36%
    FC Midtjylland 44.43%
    Draw 25.21%
AarhusDrawFC Midtjylland
1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.28% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.77% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.36%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 9.8% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.49% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.65% (0.073 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.81% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.038 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.43%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Midtjylland
0-2
Aarhus

Dohr Thychosen (78')
Aurel Bisseck (61'), Anderson (86')
Kahl (20')
Nov 7, 2021 3pm
Aarhus
3-0
Midtjylland
Mortensen (16'), Anderson (23'), Bundu (41')
Lund (29'), Anderson (40')

Onyedika (27'), Paulinho (57'), Evander (89')
Oct 3, 2021 3pm
Midtjylland
4-0
Aarhus
Brumado (3', 18' pen., 30'), Paulinho (26')
Paulinho (63')

Hausner (18')
May 24, 2021 4pm
Midtjylland
4-0
Aarhus
Evander (18'), Dreyer (45', 73'), Sviatchenko (70')

Andersen (85')
Apr 11, 2021 5pm
Aarhus
1-4
Midtjylland
Mortensen (61')
Gronbaek (44'), Olsen (45+4'), Mortensen (45+4'), Links (56'), Hvidt (58'), Juelsgaard (88')
Onyeka (16'), Scholz (53' pen.), Anderson (84'), Evander (89')
Dreyer (43'), Scholz (45+4')