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Danish Superliga | Gameweek 10
Sep 17, 2022 at 4pm UK
Ceres Park

Aarhus
3 - 1
AaB

Mortensen (52', 64'), Yakob (72')
Poulsen (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pedersen (76')
Prip (19')
Coverage of the Danish Superliga clash between Aarhus and Aalborg BK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Silkeborg 1-0 Aarhus
Sunday, September 11 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: AaB 1-1 Lyngby Boldklub
Sunday, September 11 at 1pm in Danish Superliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for Aalborg BK had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Aalborg BK win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.

Result
AarhusDrawAalborg BK
51.3% (0.86199999999999 0.86) 24.23% (-0.139 -0.14) 24.47% (-0.724 -0.72)
Both teams to score 53.71% (-0.296 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)47.96% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.86% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)70.14% (0.032000000000011 0.03)
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.3% (0.327 0.33)18.7% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.95% (0.544 0.54)50.05% (-0.545 -0.55)
Aalborg BK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.06% (-0.63300000000001 -0.63)33.94% (0.632 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.39% (-0.69 -0.69)70.61% (0.688 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Aarhus 51.29%
    Aalborg BK 24.47%
    Draw 24.22%
AarhusDrawAalborg BK
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.92% (0.196 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.16 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.058 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.09% (0.088 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 51.29%
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.22%
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 24.47%

Head to Head
Oct 18, 2021 6pm
Aarhus
1-0
AaB
Brandhof (45+6')
Dagur Thorsteinsson (4'), Poulsen (24'), Brandhof (90+4')

Ross (21'), Fredrik Granli (26'), Ferreira (76')
Aug 8, 2021 5pm
AaB
2-0
Aarhus
Fossum (32'), Ross (51')
Ahlmann (79'), Thelander (86')

Lund (5'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (11'), Poulsen (29'), Aurel Bisseck (72')
May 28, 2021 6pm
Aarhus
2-2
AaB
Aarhus win 3-1 on penalties
Blume (20'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (120' pen.)
Olsen (88'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (104'), Poulsen (106')
Van Weert (69' pen.), Kusk (109')
Ross (41'), Pallesen (77'), Hannesbo (84'), Rinne (104'), Ferreira (107'), Samuelsen (112')
Dec 20, 2020 3pm
Aarhus
3-0
AaB
Links (16'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (26', 34')
Hojer Nielsen (31')

Thelander (23'), Ferreira (45')
Oct 4, 2020 3pm
AaB
1-1
Aarhus
Borsting (76')
Okore (39'), Ferreira (51')
Mortensen (40' pen.)
Poulsen (58'), Olsen (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Copenhagen1796232191333
2FC MidtjyllandMidtjylland1710343122933
3RandersRanders1786331191230
4AarhusAarhus1777330171328
5Brondby177643122927
6SilkeborgSilkeborg176832923626
7Nordsjaelland177553029126
8Viborg FFViborg175662927221
9Aalborg BKAaB174581831-1317
10SonderjyskESonderjyskE174492137-1616
11Lyngby BoldklubLyngby Boldklub171791224-1210
12Vejle1713131640-246


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