Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nordsjaelland win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nordsjaelland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nordsjaelland would win this match.