Serie A Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Arechi
  • Pasquale Mazzocchi 48' goal

Salernitana vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions
Last game
Oct 16, 2022 11.30am
Inter Milan 2 - 0 Salernitana
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Boulaye Dia

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Oct 16, 2022 2.00pm
Spezia 2 - 2 Cremonese
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Mbala N'Zola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 23.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salernitana in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Salernitana.

Result

Salernitana 51.92% (-0.13)
Draw 25.05% (-0.01)
Spezia 23.03% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.59% (+0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.38% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 52.62% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 25.73% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 74.27% (-0.13)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5 79.74% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 20.26% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 47.39% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 52.61% (-0.02)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 62.19% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 37.8% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 25.42% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 74.58% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Salernitana 51.91%
Draw 25.05%
Spezia 23.03%
Salernitana
1-0 @ 12.22% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 9.76% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.5% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.2% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.05% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 51.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 7.66% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.62% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.05%
Spezia
0-1 @ 7.45% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.79% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.62% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.88% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.18% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 23.03%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 7, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Simone Verdi 3' goal
  • Simone Verdi 16' goal
  • Lys Mousset 30' yellowcard
  • Federico Fazio 53' yellowcard
  • Ivan Radovanovic 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Rey Manaj 12'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Amian 15'
  • goal Daniele Verde 30'
  • yellowcard Jakub Kiwior 88'
  • yellowcard Aurelien Nguiamba 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 16, 2021 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • David Strelec 51' goal
  • Emmanuel Gyasi 62' yellowcard
  • Viktor Kovalenko 76' goal
  • Rey Manaj 90' yellowcard
  • goal Simy 39'
  • yellowcard Joel Obi 53'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Coulibaly 60'
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 80'
Serie B Gameweek 38
Jul 31, 2020 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Francesco Di Tacchio 21' yellowcard
  • Cedric Gondo 30' goal
  • Fabio Maistro 35' yellowcard
  • Marco Migliorini 59' yellowcard
  • Fabio Maistro 62' redcard
  • goal Luca Mora 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Giulio Maggiore 50'
  • goal Mbala N'Zola 90'
  • yellowcard Axel Desjardins 90'+5'
Serie B Gameweek 19
Dec 29, 2019 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia)
  • Antonino Ragusa 5' goal
  • Claudio Terzi 36' yellowcard
  • Giuseppe Mastinu 68' yellowcard
  • Giulio Maggiore 80' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Gyasi 83' goal
  • yellowcard Sofian Kiyine 28'
  • yellowcard Jean-Claude Billong 31'
  • goal Lamin Jallow 85'
  • yellowcard Francesco Di Tacchio 89'
  • yellowcard Antreas Karo 92'
Serie B Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2019 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia)
  • Luca Mora 58' goal
  • Luca Mora 83' yellowcard
  • Elio Capradossi 90' goal
  • yellowcard Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro 42'
  • goal Milan Djuric 43'
  • yellowcard Lamin Jallow 52'
Serie B Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2018 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Arechi (Salerno)
  • Riccardo Bocalon 15' goal
  • Riccardo Bocalon 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paolo Bartolomei 44'
  • redcard Paolo Bartolomei 44'