Coppa Italia
Oct 19, 2022 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • David Strelec 20' goal
  • Daniele Verde 55' goal
  • David Strelec 86' goal
  • goal Stefano Moreo 90'+3'

Spezia vs Brescia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions

Brescia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result

Spezia 34.47% (+0.01)
Draw 24.58% (+0.01)
Brescia 40.95% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.91% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.98% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 44.02% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 33.6% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 66.4% (+0.01)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 75.09% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.91%
Over 1.5 40.46%
Under 1.5 59.54% (+0.01)

Brescia Goals

Over 0.5 78.46% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 21.54% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 45.39% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.61% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Spezia 34.47%
Draw 24.57%
Brescia 40.95%
Spezia
2-1 @ 7.96%
1-0 @ 7.46% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.18% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.83%
3-0 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 34.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.44%
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 5.37% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.57%
Brescia
1-2 @ 8.79%
0-1 @ 8.24% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.32% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.5%
0-3 @ 3.24%
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.73%
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 40.95%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 21
Jan 27, 2019 5.00pm
4
4
HT : 2 2
FT Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)
  • Sandro Tonali 24' goal
  • Alfredo Donnarumma 45' goal
  • Alfredo Donnarumma 55' goal
  • Alfredo Donnarumma 77' goal
  • Dimitri Bisoli 80' yellowcard
  • goal Luca Mora 1'
  • yellowcard Luca Mora 30'
  • goal Soufiane Bidaoui 40'
  • yellowcard Claudio Terzi 45'
  • goal Soufiane Bidaoui 48'
  • yellowcard Paolo Bartolomei 57'
  • goal David Okereke 64'
Serie B Gameweek 2
Sep 1, 2018 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia)
  • Nicholas Pierini 6' goal
  • Nicholas Pierini 17' goal
  • Matteo Ricci 53' yellowcard
  • David Okereke 64' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Gyasi 74' goal
  • Luca Mora 76' yellowcard
  • goal Alfredo Donnarumma 1'
  • goal Leonardo Morosini 20'
  • yellowcard Edoardo Lancini 65'
Serie B
Apr 17, 2018 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia)
  • Alberto Masi 34' yellowcard
  • Luca Mora 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rigoberto Rivas 13'
  • goal Ernesto Torregrossa 18'
Serie B
Nov 18, 2017 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)
  • Jacopo Dall'Oglio 45' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Cancellotti 56' yellowcard
  • Andrea Caracciolo 72' goal
  • Jacopo Dall'Oglio 84' redcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Giani 30'
  • goal Najib Ammari 78'
  • yellowcard Filippo De Col 79'
  • yellowcard Guido Marilungo 81'