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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Lazio logo

Juventus
3 - 0
Lazio

Kean (43', 54'), Milik (90')
Gatti (25'), Bremer (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Juventus
Thursday, November 10 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Monza
Thursday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 1-1 Lazio

Only Barcelona have conceded fewer goals at home than Juventus (three) in the top five European leagues this term, while Lazio (one) have leaked the fewest away goals so far. Therefore, a high-scoring thriller is probably not on the cards in Turin, where the spoils will be shared in a tightly-contested draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
JuventusDrawLazio
45.55% (0.276 0.28) 24.69% (-0.038 -0.04) 29.76% (-0.234 -0.23)
Both teams to score 56.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.78% (0.055 0.05)46.22% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.49% (0.052 0.05)68.51% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (0.14400000000001 0.14)20.37% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.22% (0.227 0.23)52.78% (-0.225 -0.23)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)28.95% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)64.83% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 45.55%
    Lazio 29.76%
    Draw 24.69%
JuventusDrawLazio
1-0 @ 9.38% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.47% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.96% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 45.55%
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.21% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.53% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 29.76%

How you voted: Juventus vs Lazio

Juventus
62.8%
Draw
21.2%
Lazio
15.9%
226
Head to Head
May 16, 2022 7.45pm
Juventus
2-2
Lazio
Vlahovic (10'), Morata (36')
Bernardeschi (45+2'), Cuadrado (68'), Ake (80')
Sandro (51' og.), Milinkovic-Savic (90+6')
Acerbi (41'), Milinkovic-Savic (83'), Patric (90')
Nov 20, 2021 5pm
Lazio
0-2
Juventus

Hysaj (43'), Reina (81'), Alberto (82'), Sarri (90+2')
Bonucci (23' pen., 83')
Cuadrado (28'), Allegri (90+2')
Mar 6, 2021 7.45pm
Juventus
3-1
Lazio
Rabiot (39'), Morata (57', 60' pen.)
Correa (14')
Acerbi (80')
Nov 8, 2020 11.30am
Lazio
1-1
Juventus
Caicedo (90+5')
Cataldi (45+1'), Akpa-Akpro (78')
Ronaldo (15')
Bentancur (51'), Cuadrado (84')
Jul 20, 2020 8.45pm
Juventus
2-1
Lazio
Ronaldo (51' pen., 54')
Sandro (60'), Bonucci (82'), Danilo (88')
Immobile (83' pen.)
Anderson (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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