Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Nov 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
3 - 0
Lazio

Kean (43', 54'), Milik (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Juventus
Thursday, November 10 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Monza
Thursday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Lazio
45.55% ( 0.28)	24.69% ( -0.04)	29.76% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 56.58% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.78% (

0.05)

46.22% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.49% (

0.05)

68.51% (

-0.05)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.63% (

0.14)

20.37% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.22% (

0.23)

52.78% (

-0.23)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.05% (

-0.14)

28.95% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.16% (

-0.17)

64.83% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Juventus 45.55%

Lazio 29.76%

Draw 24.69%

Juventus	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.55%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.69%	0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.76%