Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.