Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Lazio |
45.55% ( 0.28) | 24.69% ( -0.04) | 29.76% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 56.58% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.78% ( 0.05) | 46.22% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.49% ( 0.05) | 68.51% ( -0.05) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.63% ( 0.14) | 20.37% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.22% ( 0.23) | 52.78% ( -0.23) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.05% ( -0.14) | 28.95% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.16% ( -0.17) | 64.83% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.55% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
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