Champions League
Nov 2, 2022 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Leonardo Bonucci 39' goal
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 13'
  • goal Nuno Mendes 69'

Juventus vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 25, 2022 8.00pm
Benfica 4 - 3 Juventus

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 25, 2022 8.00pm
PSG 7 - 2 M. Haifa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Juventus win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result

Juventus 35.44% (-0.29)
Draw 23.68% (+0.05)
Paris Saint-Germain 40.87% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.44% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.49% (-0.28)
Under 2.5 39.5% (+0.28)
Over 3.5 38.15% (-0.29)
Under 3.5 61.85% (+0.29)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5 77.71% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 22.28% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 44.26% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 55.74% (+0.41)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 80.35% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 19.65% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 48.38% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 51.62% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Juventus 35.44%
Draw 23.67%
Paris Saint-Germain 40.87%
Juventus
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.57% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 4.93% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.47% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 35.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.69% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.53% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.38% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.67%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 8.7% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 7.12% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 5.8% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.72% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.54% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.14% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.92% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 40.87%

Head to Head

Champions League
Sep 6, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Kylian Mbappe 5' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 22' goal
  • goal Weston McKennie 53'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 27, 2017 1.30am
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Hard Rock Stadium
  • Marco Verratti 29' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Guedes 53' goal
  • Dani Alves 60' yellowcard
  • Javier Pastore 80' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Bentancur 23'
  • goal Gonzalo Higuain 45'
  • goal Claudio Marchisio 62'
  • goal Claudio Marchisio 89'