Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12

Oct 21, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Francois Coty

Ajaccio
0 - 3
PSG

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mbappe (24', 82'), Messi (78')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions

Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 71.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 10.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.03%) and 0-3 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
Ajaccio	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
10.32% ( -0.01)	18.38% ( -0)	71.3% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 42.77% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.88% (

47.12% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.64% (

69.35% (

-0.01)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.54% (

-0.01)

51.45% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.36% (

-0)

85.64% (

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.09% (

11.9% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.76% (

0.01)

37.24% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Ajaccio 10.32%

Paris Saint-Germain 71.29%

Draw 18.38%

Ajaccio	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 4.07% ( -0) 2-1 @ 2.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 10.32%	1-1 @ 8.66% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.53% Total : 18.38%	0-2 @ 13.87% 0-1 @ 13.03% 0-3 @ 9.84% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.54% 0-4 @ 5.24% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.48% 0-5 @ 2.23% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-5 @ 1.48% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.04% Total : 71.29%