| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Strasbourg | 6 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Angers | 6 | -11 | 2 |
| 20 | Ajaccio | 6 | -7 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Toulouse | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Nice | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Brest | 7 | -9 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 39.04%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Nice had a probability of 29.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.59%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajaccio | Draw | Nice |
| 39.04% ( | 31.4% ( | 29.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 37.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.28% ( | 69.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.94% ( | 87.05% ( |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.05% ( | 34.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.31% ( | 71.68% ( |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.22% ( | 41.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.76% ( | 78.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajaccio | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 15.34% 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 3-0 @ 2.83% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.03% | 0-0 @ 14.59% 1-1 @ 13.39% 2-2 @ 3.07% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 31.39% | 0-1 @ 12.74% 1-2 @ 5.85% ( 0-2 @ 5.56% ( 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 29.55% |