Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10

Oct 8, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
1 - 2
Ajaccio

Payet (15' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Moussiti-Oko (25'), Balerdi (47' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, October 4 at 6pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajaccio

All competitions

Last Game: Ajaccio 1-3 Clermont
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 62.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 15.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Ajaccio
62.31% ( 0.54)	22.52% ( -0.2)	15.16% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 44.12% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.9% (

0.19)

53.1% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.32% (

0.16)

74.68% (

-0.16)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.43% (

0.25)

16.56% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.65% (

0.45)

46.34% (

-0.45)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.87% (

-0.36)

47.12% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.42% (

-0.27)

82.58% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Marseille 62.3%

Ajaccio 15.16%

Draw 22.51%

Marseille	Draw	Ajaccio
1-0 @ 14.03% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.72% Total : 62.3%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.58% Total : 22.51%	0-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.11% Total : 15.16%