/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F28%2Facajlog.png)
-
Dimitri Payet
15'
-
Bevic Moussiti-Oko
25'
-
Leonardo Balerdi
47'
(OG)
Marseille vs Ajaccio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F40%2Fmarran.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 62.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 15.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result
Marseille
62.31%
▲
(+0.55)
Draw
22.52%
▼
(-0.21)
Ajaccio
15.16%
▼
(-0.35)
Both Teams to Score:
44.12%
▼
(-0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.9%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 2.5
53.1%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 3.5
25.32%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 3.5
74.68%
▼
(-0.16)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
83.43%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 0.5
16.56%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 1.5
53.65%
▲
(+0.46)
Under 1.5
46.34%
▼
(-0.46)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5
52.87%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 0.5
47.12%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 1.5
17.42%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 1.5
82.58%
▲
(+0.28)
Score analysis
Marseille
62.3%
Draw
22.51%
Ajaccio
15.16%
Marseille
1-0
@
14.03%
▲
(+0.02)
2-0 @ 12.61% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 62.3%
2-0 @ 12.61% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 62.3%
Draw
1-1
@
10.55%
▼
(-0.10)
0-0 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 22.51%
0-0 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 22.51%
Ajaccio
0-1
@
5.87%
▼
(-0.11)
1-2 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 15.16%
1-2 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 15.16%
