Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6

Sep 3, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps

Auxerre
0 - 2
Marseille

Jubal (39'), Furlan (54')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gerson (8'), Sanchez (84')
Tudor (42'), Harit (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

Last Six:

Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Auxerre
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Lille	5	-2	7
9	Auxerre	5	-2	7
10	Nantes	5	1	6

Marseille

Last Six:

Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Clermont
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Lens	5	8	13
3	Marseille	5	8	13
4	Lyon	4	5	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Auxerre	Draw	Marseille
29.47% ( 1.71)	25.32% ( -0.06)	45.21% ( -1.65)

Both teams to score 54.32% (

1.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.91% (

1.18)

49.09% (

-1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.84% (

1.06)

71.16% (

-1.06)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.38% (

1.88)

30.61% (

-1.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.15% (

2.17)

66.85% (

-2.17)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.29% (

-0.25)

21.71% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.13% (

-0.38)

54.87% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Auxerre 29.47%

Marseille 45.21%

Draw 25.31%

Auxerre	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.47%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.58) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.5) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 45.21%