Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Sep 3, 2022 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jubal 39' yellowcard
  • Jean-Marc Furlan 54' yellowcard
  • goal Gerson 8'
  • yellowcard Igor Tudor 42'
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 84'
  • yellowcard Amine Harit 90'

Auxerre vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2022 6.00pm
Lyon 2 - 1 Auxerre
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
M'Baye Niang

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2022 8.00pm
Marseille 1 - 0 Clermont
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Alexis Sanchez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result

Auxerre 29.47% (+1.71)
Draw 25.32% (-0.06)
Marseille 45.21% (-1.66)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.32% (+1.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.91% (+1.18)
Under 2.5 49.09% (-1.18)
Over 3.5 28.84% (+1.06)
Under 3.5 71.16% (-1.06)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5 69.38% (+1.88)
Under 0.5 30.61% (-1.88)
Over 1.5 33.15% (+2.17)
Under 1.5 66.85% (-2.17)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 78.29% (-0.26)
Under 0.5 21.71% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 45.13% (-0.39)
Under 1.5 54.87% (+0.39)

Score analysis

Auxerre 29.47%
Draw 25.31%
Marseille 45.21%
Auxerre
1-0 @ 7.87% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.11% (+0.34)
2-0 @ 4.66% (+0.25)
3-1 @ 2.81% (+0.27)
3-2 @ 2.14% (+0.19)
3-0 @ 1.84% (+0.19)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 29.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.33)
2-2 @ 5.43% (+0.22)
3-3 @ 1.09% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.31%
Marseille
0-1 @ 10.15% (-0.59)
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 7.75% (-0.51)
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 3.95% (-0.29)
2-3 @ 2.77% (+0.09)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.51% (-0.13)
2-4 @ 1.06% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 45.21%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
May 13, 2012 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1
Aug 14, 2011 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT