MX23RW : Sunday, December 15 17:25:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
AJ Auxerre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 3, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Marseille

Auxerre
0 - 2
Marseille


Jubal (39'), Furlan (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gerson (8'), Sanchez (84')
Tudor (42'), Harit (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Auxerre
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Clermont
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Auxerre 1-2 Marseille

Although Auxerre have avoided defeat in their opening two home games, we think that they will lose narrowly to a Marseille side who are aiming to clinch a fourth consecutive victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawMarseille
29.47% (1.706 1.71) 25.32% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 45.21% (-1.654 -1.65)
Both teams to score 54.32% (1.3 1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (1.177 1.18)49.09% (-1.18 -1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.84% (1.056 1.06)71.16% (-1.059 -1.06)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.38% (1.876 1.88)30.61% (-1.879 -1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.15% (2.166 2.17)66.85% (-2.168 -2.17)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (-0.251 -0.25)21.71% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13% (-0.384 -0.38)54.87% (0.381 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 29.47%
    Marseille 45.21%
    Draw 25.31%
AuxerreDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 7.87% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.11% (0.331 0.33)
2-0 @ 4.66% (0.25 0.25)
3-1 @ 2.81% (0.265 0.27)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.188 0.19)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.186 0.19)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 29.47%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.327 -0.33)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.214 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 10.15% (-0.58 -0.58)
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-2 @ 7.75% (-0.504 -0.5)
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.95% (-0.289 -0.29)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.089 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.51% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 45.21%

How you voted: Auxerre vs Marseille

Auxerre
3.8%
Draw
11.5%
Marseille
84.6%
52
Head to Head
May 13, 2012 4pm
Aug 14, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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