Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
1 - 0
Clermont

Gueye (49')
Rongier (44'), Bailly (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Andric (37'), Seidu (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

Last Six:

Last Game: Nice 0-3 Marseille
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain	4	14	10
2	Marseille	4	7	10
3	Lens	4	5	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 63.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Clermont
63.2% ( -0.06)	20.77% ( 0.02)	16.04% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 51.36% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.6% (

44.39% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.23% (

66.77% (

-0)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.59% (

-0.02)

13.41% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.65% (

-0.04)

40.35% (

0.04)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.31% (

0.06)

40.69% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.72% (

0.05)

77.28% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Marseille 63.19%

Clermont 16.04%

Draw 20.77%

Marseille	Draw	Clermont
2-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.5% 5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 63.19%	1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.46% 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 20.77%	0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 16.04%