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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Clermont Foot

Marseille
1 - 0
Clermont

Gueye (49')
Rongier (44'), Bailly (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Andric (37'), Seidu (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Marseille 3-1 Clermont

Although Clermont won the most recent meeting between the two clubs, we think that an in-form Marseille side will claim a comfortable victory to keep pace with defending champions PSG. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 63.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawClermont
63.2% (-0.064 -0.06) 20.77% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 16.04% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.36% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (0.0020000000000024 0)44.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (0.0010000000000048 0)66.77% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.59% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)13.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.65% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)40.35% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.31% (0.060000000000002 0.06)40.69% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.72% (0.053999999999998 0.05)77.28% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 63.19%
    Clermont 16.04%
    Draw 20.77%
MarseilleDrawClermont
2-0 @ 11.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 3.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.33% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.5%
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 63.19%
1-1 @ 9.86% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.46%
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.77%
0-1 @ 4.91% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.43% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.33% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 16.04%

How you voted: Marseille vs Clermont

Marseille
88.2%
Draw
10.3%
Clermont
1.5%
68
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 7.45pm
Marseille
0-2
Clermont

Sampaoli (39'), Guendouzi (68'), Caleta-Car (75')
Bayo (13'), Allevinah (84')
Seidu (68'), Kyei (89')
Oct 31, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1492331171429
3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1475224141026
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Auxerre146262121020
9Reims145452018219
10Toulouse145361516-118
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne144191132-2113
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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