We said: Ajaccio 1-0 Clermont
While they have only captured one league fixture so far this season, Ajaccio have been unlucky on a couple of occasions in 2022-23, losing four matches by a single goal.
Clermont could be just the break L'ours need to finally win at home, as the visitors have been poor in the final third, while also being a little too complacent on the road throughout the campaign.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 44%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.27%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.