Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8

Sep 18, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Gabriel Montpied

Clermont
1 - 3
Troyes

Gastien (4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Balde (23', 54'), Ripart (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

Last Six:

Last Game: Strasbourg 0-0 Clermont
Sunday, September 11 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Monaco	7	-2	11
10	Clermont	7	-2	10
11	Nice	7	-3	8

Troyes

Last Six:

Last Game: Lens 1-0 Troyes
Friday, September 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Toulouse	8	-4	8
13	Troyes	7	-4	7
14	Auxerre	8	-11	7

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 47.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 26.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Clermont	Draw	Troyes
47.24% ( 3.12)	26.6% ( -0.98)	26.16% ( -2.14)

Both teams to score 48.15% (

1.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.97% (

2.39)

56.03% (

-2.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.89% (

1.9)

77.11% (

-1.9)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.27% (

2.6)

23.72% (

-2.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.14% (

3.6)

57.86% (

-3.6)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.12% (

-0.47)

36.88% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.34% (

-0.47)

73.66% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Clermont 47.23%

Troyes 26.16%

Draw 26.59%

Clermont	Draw	Troyes
1-0 @ 12.58% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.41) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.54) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.49) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.3) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.28) Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.23%	1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.83) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.96) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.54) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.2) Other @ 1.79% Total : 26.16%