Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6

Sep 4, 2022 at 4.05pm UK

Stade de l'Aube

Troyes
1 - 1
Rennes

Ugbo (14')
Chavalerin (72'), Gallon (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Santamaria (48')
Santamaria (42'), Meling (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

Last Six:

Last Game: Monaco 2-4 Troyes
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Nantes	6	-2	6
11	Troyes	5	-3	6
12	Clermont	5	-4	6

Rennes

Last Six:

Last Game: Rennes 3-1 Brest
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Montpellier HSC	5	6	9
6	Rennes	5	1	7
7	Lorient	4	-1	7

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Rennes
30.89% ( -0.27)	25.99% ( 0.05)	43.12% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 52.89% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.7% (

-0.31)

51.29% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.87% (

-0.27)

73.12% (

0.27)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.26% (

-0.34)

30.74% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.99% (

-0.41)

67% (

0.41)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.36% (

-0.03)

23.64% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.27% (

-0.04)

57.73% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Troyes 30.89%

Rennes 43.12%

Draw 25.99%

Troyes	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.05% Total : 30.89%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 43.12%