Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8

Sep 18, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
0 - 1
Ajaccio

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hamouma (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

Last Six:

Last Game: PSG 1-0 Brest
Saturday, September 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Strasbourg	8	-3	5
18	Brest	7	-9	5
19	Angers	7	-10	5

Ajaccio

Last Six:

Last Game: Ajaccio 0-1 Nice
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Brest	7	-9	5
19	Angers	7	-10	5
20	Ajaccio	7	-8	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Brest	Draw	Ajaccio
38.82% ( -0.27)	29.25% ( 0.03)	31.93% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 43.78% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.04% (

-0.07)

62.96% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.56% (

-0.05)

82.44% (

0.05)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.5% (

-0.2)

31.5% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.11% (

-0.23)

67.88% (

0.23)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.9% (

0.13)

36.09% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.12% (

0.13)

72.87% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Brest 38.81%

Ajaccio 31.93%

Draw 29.24%

Brest	Draw	Ajaccio
1-0 @ 13.13% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 38.81%	1-1 @ 13.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.24%	0-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 31.93%