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Ligue 1

Angers
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Jean Bouin
Marseille

Angers
0 - 3
Marseille

FT(HT: 0-1)
Clauss (35'), Suarez Charris (50'), Gerson (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Angers and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Angers

All competitions
Last Game: Nice 0-1 Angers
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Angers had a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for an Angers win it was 1-0 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
AngersDrawMarseille
24.89% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)25.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.71% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.55% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.66% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)52.33% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.97% (-0.026 -0.03)74.02% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Angers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.05% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)35.95% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.27% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)72.73% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.93% (0.0040000000000049 0)21.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)53.88%
Score Analysis
    Angers 24.89%
    Marseille 49.71%
    Draw 25.38%
AngersDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 7.75%
2-1 @ 6.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.89%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 11.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.4%
0-2 @ 9.19% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.88%
0-3 @ 4.77% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9%
0-4 @ 1.86% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 49.71%

How you voted: Angers vs Marseille

Angers
12.6%
Draw
12.1%
Marseille
75.3%
190
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2022 8pm
Marseille
5-2
Angers
Milik (18', 70', 78'), Gerson (21'), Under (85')
Fulgini (8'), Bentaleb (11')
Cabot (53'), Mendy (76'), Bentaleb (90')
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Angers
0-0
Marseille

Ounahi (44')

Caleta-Car (52'), Balerdi (59'), Harit (65')
May 16, 2021 8pm
Marseille
3-2
Angers
Milik (9', 48', 90+4' pen.)
Rongier (22'), Milik (37'), Sampaoli (87'), Gonzalez (87')
Sampaoli (89')
Pereira Lage (57'), Thomas (85')
Pereira Lage (62'), Thomas (90+2')
Dec 23, 2020 8pm
Angers
2-1
Marseille
Pereira Lage (4'), Diony (23')
Doumbia (46'), Fulgini (48')
Rongier (75')
Rongier (14'), Sakai (38'), Caleta-Car (55'), Khaoui (88')
Jan 25, 2020 4.30pm
Marseille
0-0
Angers

Amavi (88')

Alioui (54'), Manceau (81')