Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8

Sep 18, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
1 - 1
Rennes

Guendouzi (52')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Guendouzi (25' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

Last Six:

Last Game: Marseille 0-1 Frankfurt
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain	7	21	19
2	Marseille	7	11	19
3	Lorient	8	5	19

Rennes

Last Six:

Last Game: Rennes 2-2 Fenerbahce
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Montpellier HSC	8	4	12
8	Rennes	7	6	11
9	Monaco	7	-2	11

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Rennes
42.54% ( 0.24)	25.53% ( -0.01)	31.93% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 54.85% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.04% (

-0.04)

48.95% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.96% (

-0.03)

71.04% (

0.03)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.1% (

0.1)

22.9% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.34% (

0.14)

56.65% (

-0.14)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.14% (

-0.16)

28.86% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.27% (

-0.21)

64.73% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Marseille 42.54%

Rennes 31.93%

Draw 25.52%

Marseille	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.54%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.52%	0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.93%