Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Rennes |
| 34.63% | 26.76% | 38.62% |
| Both teams to score 51.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.51% | 53.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.99% | 75.01% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.63% | 29.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.65% | 65.35% |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73% | 27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.65% | 62.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 9.71% 2-1 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 5.95% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.63% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.61% |