Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Rennes |
| 33.77% | 25.66% | 40.56% |
| Both teams to score 54.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.96% | 49.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.88% | 71.12% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% | 27.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.7% | 63.3% |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.08% | 23.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.86% | 58.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% 2-1 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.88% Total : 33.77% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 9.49% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-2 @ 6.79% 1-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.56% |