Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24

Feb 7, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
0 - 2
PSG

Gueye (49')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Mbappe (9'), Icardi (24')
Paredes (45+1'), Icardi (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.79%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 15.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Marseille win it was 2-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
15.56%	19.64%	64.79%

Both teams to score 54.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.77%

40.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.4%

62.6%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.25%

38.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.51%

75.48%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.31%

11.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.22%

36.77%

Score Analysis

Marseille 15.56%

Paris Saint-Germain 64.79%

Draw 19.64%

Marseille	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 4.37% 1-0 @ 4.29% 2-0 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.48% 3-1 @ 1.38% Other @ 2% Total : 15.56%	1-1 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 4.69% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.64%	0-2 @ 10.43% 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-1 @ 9.72% 0-3 @ 7.47% 1-3 @ 7.08% 0-4 @ 4.01% 1-4 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 3.36% 2-4 @ 1.8% 0-5 @ 1.72% 1-5 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.88% Total : 64.79%

How you voted: Marseille vs PSG

Marseille

10.3%

Draw

8.0%

Paris Saint-Germain

81.6%