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Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Marseille

Lille
2 - 0
Marseille

David (90', 90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.03%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 25.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawMarseille
46.03%28.03%25.93%
Both teams to score 44.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.86%61.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.9%81.09%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39%26.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.16%61.84%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.08%39.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.42%76.57%
Score Analysis
    Lille 46.03%
    Marseille 25.93%
    Draw 28.03%
LilleDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 14.06%
2-0 @ 9.31%
2-1 @ 8.55%
3-0 @ 4.11%
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 46.03%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 3.93%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 9.75%
1-2 @ 5.93%
0-2 @ 4.48%
1-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 25.93%

How you voted: Lille vs Marseille

Lille
75.0%
Draw
20.8%
Marseille
4.2%
72
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 4
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Germain (85')
Nagatomo (21'), Thauvin (58'), Gonzalez (65')
Araujo (47')
Andre (50'), Bradaric (58'), Sanches (80')
Feb 16, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 25
Lille
1-2
Marseille
Osimhen (51')
Mandava (66' og.), Benedetto (69')
Caleta-Car (9'), Amavi (30'), Benedetto (35'), Strootman (90'), Ake (90')
Nov 2, 2019 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
Marseille
2-1
Lille
Sanson (47'), Gabriel (79' og.)
Amavi (83')
Soumaoro (83')
Djalo (23'), Ikone (33'), Osimhen (83')
Jan 25, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Marseille
1-2
Lille
Balotelli (90')
Kamara (18'), Gustavo (45'), Strootman (45'), Radonjic (73'), Rolando (90')
Thauvin (67')
Pepe (45' pen., 90')
Soumaoro (50'), Leao (66'), Xeka (70')
Sep 30, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 8
Lille
3-0
Marseille
Pepe (65' pen.), Bamba (86' pen., 89')
Xeka (18')

Ocampos (17'), Mandanda (63'), Gustavo (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Toulouse156361717021
9Auxerre146262121020
10Reims145452018219
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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