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Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
AEK Arena - George Karapatakis
Rennes

Larnaca
1 - 2
Rennes

Sanjurjo (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Theate (29'), Assignon (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between AEK Larnaca and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Larnaca

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Last Game: Larnaca 3-0 Dnipro-1
Thursday, August 25 at 5pm in Europa League
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Rennes

Last Six:
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, September 4 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
AEK LarnacaDrawRennes
37.16% (-0.15 -0.15)27.93% (0.029999999999998 0.03)34.91% (0.121 0.12)
Both teams to score 47.96% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.97% (-0.107 -0.11)58.03% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.29% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)78.71% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.97% (-0.145 -0.14)30.03% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84% (-0.173 -0.17)66.16% (0.17399999999999 0.17)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.55% (0.024000000000001 0.02)31.45% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.17% (0.027999999999999 0.03)67.84% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    AEK Larnaca 37.16%
    Rennes 34.9%
    Draw 27.93%
AEK LarnacaDrawRennes
1-0 @ 11.36%
2-1 @ 7.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.16%
1-1 @ 13.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.45% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.93%
0-1 @ 10.92% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.32% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.9%

How you voted: Larnaca vs Rennes

AEK Larnaca
18.8%
Draw
10.4%
Rennes
70.8%
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