Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.