Potential new EL header

Europa League

Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 5pm UK
AEK Arena - George Karapatakis
Partizan

Larnaca
2 - 1
Partizan

Angel (34'), Milicevic (70')
Sanjurjo (59'), Tomovic (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Menig (18')
Vujacic (59'), Urosevic (59'), Fejsa (83'), Belic (90+3')
Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between AEK Larnaca and Partizan.

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Larnaca

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Larnaca 1-1 Midtjylland (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, July 26 at 4.30pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Partizan

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Partizan 1-0 Fenerbahce
Saturday, July 2 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Partizan had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Partizan win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Larnaca would win this match.

Result
AEK LarnacaDrawPartizan
37.43% (-0.174 -0.17)26.48% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)36.09% (0.194 0.19)
Both teams to score 52.6% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.75% (0.099999999999994 0.1)52.25% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.05% (0.086000000000002 0.09)73.95% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)27.08% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54% (-0.067 -0.07)62.46% (0.064 0.06)
Partizan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (0.163 0.16)27.87% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52% (0.21 0.21)63.47% (-0.213 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    AEK Larnaca 37.43%
    Partizan 36.09%
    Draw 26.48%
AEK LarnacaDrawPartizan
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 37.43%
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.55% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 9.64% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.05% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.16% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.43% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 36.09%

How you voted: Larnaca vs Partizan

AEK Larnaca
29.5%
Draw
36.1%
Partizan
34.4%
61