We said: Partizan 1-1 Feyenoord
Feyenoord come in as narrow favourites, but, away from home, they are unlikely to come out all guns blazing.
Given the stakes of a first leg, we see a cagey encounter finishing level before next week's game in the Netherlands.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 49.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Partizan had a probability of 25.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Partizan win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.