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Europa League

Partizan
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadion Partizana

Partizan
2 - 2
Larnaca

Gomes (24', 54')
Natcho (52'), Markovic (60'), Urosevic (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gyurcso (51'), Faraj (57')
Casas (81'), Mamas (90+1'), Piric (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Partizan and AEK Larnaca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Partizan

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Last Game: Larnaca 2-1 Partizan
Thursday, August 4 at 5pm in Europa League
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AEK Larnaca

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Last Game: Larnaca 2-1 Partizan
Thursday, August 4 at 5pm in Europa League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partizan win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partizan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
PartizanDrawAEK Larnaca
41.49% (0.032999999999994 0.03)25.94% (-0.108 -0.11)32.57% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 53.73% (0.385 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.49% (0.484 0.48)50.51% (-0.483 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.57% (0.427 0.43)72.43% (-0.425 -0.42)
Partizan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9% (0.23099999999999 0.23)24.1% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.6% (0.328 0.33)58.4% (-0.327 -0.33)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79% (0.29300000000001 0.29)29.21% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.84% (0.358 0.36)65.16% (-0.357 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Partizan 41.48%
    AEK Larnaca 32.57%
    Draw 25.93%
PartizanDrawAEK Larnaca
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.13% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 41.48%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.59% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 32.57%

How you voted: Partizan vs Larnaca

Partizan
81.5%
Draw
10.8%
AEK Larnaca
7.7%
65
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2022 5pm
Larnaca
2-1
Partizan
Angel (34'), Milicevic (70')
Sanjurjo (59'), Tomovic (68')
Menig (18')
Vujacic (59'), Urosevic (59'), Fejsa (83'), Belic (90+3')