Potential new EL header

Europa League

Rennes
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
Roazhon Park

Rennes
2 - 2
Fenerbahce

Terrier (52'), Majer (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kahveci (60'), Valencia (90+2' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Rennes and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

Last Six:
Last Game: Rennes 5-0 Auxerre
Sunday, September 11 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Fenerbahce

Last Six:
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-1 Dynamo Kiev
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.59%) and 3-2 (5%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
RennesDrawFenerbahce
45.13% (0.07 0.07)20.9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)33.98% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 72.87% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.18% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)25.83% (0.122 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.01% (-0.154 -0.15)45.99% (0.158 0.16)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)12.54% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.42% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)38.58% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.32% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)16.68% (0.095000000000002 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.45% (-0.165 -0.16)46.56% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 45.13%
    Fenerbahce 33.98%
    Draw 20.9%
RennesDrawFenerbahce
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 5% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.51% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 4.34% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.6% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.006 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 45.13%
1-1 @ 7.78% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 7.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 2.99% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.09% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 20.9%
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 4.32% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.75% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-4 @ 1.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.34% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 33.98%

How you voted: Rennes vs Fenerbahce

Rennes
43.4%
Draw
27.0%
Fenerbahce
29.6%
152