Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 77.52%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 7.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11%) and 1-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Fenerbahce in this match.