Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 2-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.