Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 68.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Yeni Malatyaspor had a probability of 13.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Yeni Malatyaspor win it was 2-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.