Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 74.2%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 9.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.82%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.