Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Kayserispor	Draw	Fenerbahce
31.62%	25.09%	43.3%

Both teams to score 56.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.84%

47.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.61%

69.39%

Kayserispor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.82%

28.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.13%

63.87%

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.23%

21.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.03%

54.97%

Score Analysis

Kayserispor 31.62%

Fenerbahce 43.3%

Draw 25.08%

Kayserispor	Draw	Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 7.77% 2-1 @ 7.5% 2-0 @ 4.92% 3-1 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.62%	1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.14% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 9.35% 1-2 @ 9.03% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 4.59% 0-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.91% 1-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.38% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.43% Total : 43.3%