Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.