Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 77.82%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 8.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.48%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.