MX23RW : Monday, December 11 05:52:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Sep 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lille
Marseille
2 - 1
Lille
Sanchez (26'), Gigot (61')
Balerdi (14'), Tudor (41'), Gueye (50'), Gigot (57'), Toure (68'), Tavares (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ismaily (12')
Djalo (78')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 2-0 Marseille
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Marseille 2-2 Lille

A closely-fought contest between two evenly-matched teams is set to take place on Saturday, with both sides feeling that they have the credentials to come away with maximum points. While goals are to be expected at the Stade Velodrome, an entertaining score draw could be on the cards on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawLille
45.55% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.9% (0.0010000000000012 0) 29.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.76% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.77% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)47.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.54% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)69.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)20.79% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)53.44% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)29.61% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.36% (-0.012 -0.01)65.65% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 45.55%
    Lille 29.55%
    Draw 24.89%
MarseilleDrawLille
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.84%
3-0 @ 3.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.9%
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 45.55%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 7.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 29.55%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lille

Marseille
65.3%
Draw
25.5%
Lille
9.2%
98
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Under (75')
Guendouzi (4')
Botman (15')
Andre (30'), Grbic (55'), Celik (55'), Lihadji (86')
Andre (32')
Oct 3, 2021 4pm
Lille
2-0
Marseille
David (28', 90+4')
Mandava (11'), Yilmaz (66')

Under (24'), Balerdi (37')
Under (77')
Mar 3, 2021 8pm
Sep 20, 2020 8pm
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Germain (85')
Nagatomo (21'), Thauvin (58'), Gonzalez (65')
Araujo (47')
Andre (50'), Bradaric (58'), Sanches (80')
Feb 16, 2020 8pm
Lille
1-2
Marseille
Osimhen (51')
Mandava (66' og.), Benedetto (69')
Caleta-Car (9'), Amavi (30'), Benedetto (35'), Strootman (90'), Ake (90')
rhs 2.0
MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15113138122636
2Nice159511661032
3MonacoMonaco1593331201130
4Lille157621911827
5Brest157441915425
6Marseille156542216623
7Lens156541915423
8Reims157262121023
9NantesNantes155371925-618
10StrasbourgStrasbourg154561420-617
11Le HavreLe Havre153751317-416
12Metz154471523-816
13Rennes153662021-115
14Montpellier HSCMontpellier153661720-314
15Toulouse152761421-713
16Lorient152672029-912
17Clermont15258921-1211
18Lyon152491427-1310

MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
New Apple Music general promo - 300x250

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!