Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7

Sep 10, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
2 - 1
Lille

Sanchez (26'), Gigot (61')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ismaily (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

Last Six:

Last Game: Spurs 2-0 Marseille
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Paris Saint-Germain	6	20	16
3	Marseille	6	10	16
4	Lyon	6	8	13

Lille

Last Six:

Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 Lille
Sunday, September 4 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Lorient	6	2	13
6	Lille	6	0	10
7	Montpellier HSC	6	4	9

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Lille
45.55% ( 0)	24.9% ( 0)	29.55% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.76% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.77% (

-0.01)

47.23% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.54% (

-0.01)

69.46% (

0.01)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.22% (

-0)

20.79% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.57% (

-0)

53.44% (

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.39% (

-0.01)

29.61% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.36% (

-0.01)

65.65% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Marseille 45.55%

Lille 29.55%

Draw 24.89%

Marseille	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.84% 3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.67% Total : 45.55%	1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.89%	0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 29.55%