Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6

Sep 4, 2022 at 12pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
1 - 3
Lille

Wahi (20')

FT(HT: 1-1)

David (41', 90+4'), Gomes (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

Last Six:

Last Game: Montpellier 2-0 Ajaccio
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Lens	5	8	13
5	Montpellier HSC	5	6	9
6	Rennes	5	1	7

Lille

Last Six:

Last Game: Lille 1-2 Nice
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Lorient	4	-1	7
8	Lille	5	-2	7
9	Auxerre	6	-4	7

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lille
32.67% ( -0.31)	26.49% ( -0.22)	40.84% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 51.98% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.23% (

0.81)

52.77% (

-0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.6% (

0.69)

74.4% (

-0.69)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.73% (

0.2)

30.27% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.55% (

0.24)

66.44% (

-0.24)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.55% (

0.65)

25.45% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.72% (

0.88)

60.28% (

-0.88)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 32.67%

Lille 40.83%

Draw 26.48%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.2% Total : 32.67%	1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.42% Total : 40.83%