Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 59.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Angers had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Angers |
59.72% | 22.82% | 17.46% |
Both teams to score 47.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.42% | 50.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.51% | 72.49% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.43% | 16.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.64% | 46.35% |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.4% | 42.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.05% | 78.95% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Angers |
1-0 @ 12.68% 2-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 5.83% 4-0 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-2 @ 1.12% 5-0 @ 1.1% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.88% Total : 59.71% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 0-0 @ 7.06% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 6.02% 1-2 @ 4.62% 0-2 @ 2.57% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.75% Total : 17.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 29 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 26 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
7 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 23 |
8 | Auxerre | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 20 |
9 | Reims | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Toulouse | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |