Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 59.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Angers had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Angers |
| 59.72% | 22.82% | 17.46% |
| Both teams to score 47.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.42% | 50.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.51% | 72.49% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.43% | 16.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.64% | 46.35% |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.4% | 42.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.05% | 78.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Angers |
| 1-0 @ 12.68% 2-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 5.83% 4-0 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-2 @ 1.12% 5-0 @ 1.1% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.88% Total : 59.71% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 0-0 @ 7.06% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 6.02% 1-2 @ 4.62% 0-2 @ 2.57% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.75% Total : 17.46% |