Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Marseille |
| 30.11% | 26.44% | 43.45% |
| Both teams to score 51.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.61% | 53.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.08% | 74.93% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.64% | 32.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.12% | 68.88% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% | 24.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.19% | 58.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% 2-1 @ 7.09% 2-0 @ 5.02% 3-1 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 1.89% 3-2 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.11% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 11.14% 1-2 @ 8.86% 0-2 @ 7.86% 1-3 @ 4.17% 0-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.45% |