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Ligue 1

Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
AC Ajaccio

Troyes
1 - 1
Ajaccio

Porozo (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
El Idrissy (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions
Last Game: Nice 3-2 Troyes
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Ajaccio
Saturday, October 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 41.99%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
TroyesDrawAjaccio
41.99% (-0.291 -0.29)29.01% (0.082000000000001 0.08)29% (0.208 0.21)
Both teams to score 43.4% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.07% (-0.188 -0.19)62.93% (0.189 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.58% (-0.136 -0.14)82.42% (0.13600000000001 0.14)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.37% (-0.255 -0.25)29.63% (0.256 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.33% (-0.311 -0.31)65.67% (0.312 0.31)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.67% (0.065999999999995 0.07)38.33% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.91% (0.062000000000001 0.06)75.09% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 41.99%
    Ajaccio 28.99%
    Draw 28.99%
TroyesDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 13.81%
2-0 @ 8.4% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 41.99%
1-1 @ 13.24% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.35% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.99%
0-1 @ 10.88% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.22% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 28.99%

How you voted: Troyes vs Ajaccio

Troyes
51.6%
Draw
22.6%
Ajaccio
25.8%
62
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 2pm
Troyes
1-0
Ajaccio
Touzghar (90+3')

Coutadeur (66'), Kalulu (90')
Oct 31, 2020 6pm
Ajaccio
0-4
Troyes

Keita (89')
Saint-Louis (22'), Touzghar (49'), Baya (63'), Domingues (84')
Domingues (90+3')
May 8, 2020 7pm
Ajaccio
P-P
Troyes
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Troyes
2-1
Ajaccio
Kouyate (45'), Tardieu (89' pen.)
Meissa Ba (25'), Souare (80')
Courtet (82')
Tramoni (31'), Cavalli (61'), Bayala (74'), Ismael (87'), Sollacaro (96')
May 17, 2019 7.45pm
Troyes
0-0
Ajaccio

Mollo (32')
rhs 2.0


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