Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Reims had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Reims |
| 41.12% ( | 28.28% ( | 30.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.97% ( | 60.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.74% ( | 80.26% ( |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% ( | 28.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.48% ( | 64.52% ( |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.5% ( | 35.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.74% ( | 72.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Reims |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% ( 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 4-0 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 1.65% Total : 41.11% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0-0 @ 10.18% ( 2-2 @ 4.26% ( Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.27% | 0-1 @ 10.55% ( 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 2-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 30.6% |