Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7

Sep 11, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadium Municipal

Toulouse
1 - 0
Reims

Aboukhlal (31')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Reims, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

Last Six:

Last Game: Clermont 2-0 Toulouse
Sunday, September 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Reims	6	-3	6
15	Toulouse	6	-4	5
16	Nice	6	-4	5

Reims

Last Six:

Last Game: Reims 1-1 Lens
Sunday, September 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Nantes	6	-2	6
14	Reims	6	-3	6
15	Toulouse	6	-4	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Reims had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Toulouse in this match.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Reims
46.25% ( 0.16)	25.78% ( 0.02)	27.97% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 51.89% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.18% (

-0.2)

51.82% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.42% (

-0.18)

73.58% (

0.18)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62% (

-0.02)

22.38% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.11% (

-0.02)

55.89% (

0.02)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.85% (

-0.25)

33.15% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.25% (

-0.27)

69.75% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 46.24%

Reims 27.97%

Draw 25.78%

Toulouse	Draw	Reims
1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 46.24%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.46% Total : 27.97%