Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Reims had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Toulouse in this match.