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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
Troyes

Nice
3 - 2
Troyes

Viti (2'), Delort (37' pen.), Pepe (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Chavalerin (82'), Conte (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slovacko 0-1 Nice
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Troyes 2-2 Reims
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawTroyes
56.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)23.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.02% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.2% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.9% (0.039000000000001 0.04)51.1% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.05% (0.032999999999998 0.03)72.95% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.96%18.04% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.07% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)48.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.03% (0.061999999999998 0.06)39.97% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.38% (0.056999999999999 0.06)76.62% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Nice 56.13%
    Troyes 20.02%
    Draw 23.83%
NiceDrawTroyes
1-0 @ 12.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.37%
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 56.13%
1-1 @ 11.32%
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 6.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 20.02%

How you voted: Nice vs Troyes

Nice
72.4%
Draw
13.8%
Troyes
13.8%
29
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
Nice
1-0
Troyes
Thuram (90+3')
Lotomba (90+4')

Tardieu (90+4')
Oct 17, 2021 12pm
Apr 1, 2018 4pm
Aug 11, 2017 6pm
Nice
1-2
Troyes
Plea (63' pen.)
Koziello (64'), Dante (90')
Niane (54'), Khaoui (85')
Vizcarrondo (62'), Samassa (62'), Herelle (77')
Mar 5, 2016 7pm
Nice
2-1
Troyes
Germain (12'), Traore (73')
Boscagli (56')
Jean (26')
Dabo (30')