Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Neymar 45'+1' goal

Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2022 8.00pm
Reims 0 - 0 PSG
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2022 4.00pm
Marseille 1 - 2 Ajaccio
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Alexis Sanchez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 18.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 58.21% (-0.29)
Draw 22.86% (+0.07)
Marseille 18.93% (+0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.39% (+0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.4% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 48.61% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 29.28% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 70.72% (-0.05)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 83.6% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 16.4% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 53.95% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 46.05% (+0.15)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 60.28% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 39.72% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 23.61% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 76.4% (-0.27)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 58.19%
Draw 22.86%
Marseille 18.93%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 11.77% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 10.64% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.83% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.41% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.73% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 58.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.54% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.86%
Marseille
0-1 @ 6.02% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.02% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 2.78% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.55% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.4% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 18.93%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
Apr 17, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Neymar 12' goal
  • Marco Verratti 17' yellowcard
  • Nuno Mendes 37' yellowcard
  • Idrissa Gueye 46' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 45'+4' goal
  • Neymar 55' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Gianluigi Donnarumma 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gerson 21'
  • goal Duje Caleta-Car 31'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Oct 24, 2021 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jorge Sampaoli 17' yellowcard
  • Valentin Rongier 18' yellowcard
  • redcard Achraf Hakimi 57'
  • yellowcard Danilo Pereira 85'
  • yellowcard Marquinhos 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Feb 7, 2021 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Pape Gueye 49' yellowcard
  • Dimitri Payet 90'+1' redcard
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 9'
  • goal Mauro Icardi 24'
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Mauro Icardi 53'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Sep 13, 2020 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Neymar 11' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Florenzi 13' yellowcard
  • Juan Bernat 52' yellowcard
  • Leandro Paredes 72' yellowcard
  • Angel di Maria 74' yellowcard
  • Layvin Kurzawa 90'+7' redcard
  • Leandro Paredes 90'+7' redcard
  • Neymar 90'+9' redcard
  • yellowcard Hiroki Sakai 7'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Payet 11'
  • goal Florian Thauvin 31'
  • yellowcard Pape Gueye 38'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Gonzalez 50'
  • yellowcard Maxime Lopez 61'
  • yellowcard Dario Benedetto 71'
  • yellowcard Kevin Strootman 90'+1'
  • redcard Jordan Amavi 90'+7'
  • redcard Dario Benedetto 90'+7'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 30
Mar 22, 2020 8.00pm
Orange Velodrome
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Oct 27, 2019 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Parc des Princes (Paris)
  • Mauro Icardi 10' goal
  • Mauro Icardi 26' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 32' goal
  • Colin Dagba 39' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 44' goal
  • Juan Bernat 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hiroki Sakai 62'

Build-up

News