Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.