Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13

Oct 29, 2022 at 4pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
4 - 3
Troyes

Soler (24'), Messi (55'), Neymar (62'), Mbappe (77' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Balde (3', 52'), Palaversa (88')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 7-2 Maccabi Haifa
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Troyes

All competitions

Last Game: Troyes 2-2 Lorient
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 86.96%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 4.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 4-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.2%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-2 (1.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Troyes
86.96% ( 1.15)	8.96% ( -0.76)	4.07% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 44.85% (

0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.46% (

2.27)

25.54% (

-2.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.38% (

2.88)

45.62% (

-2.88)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.15% (

0.56)

3.85% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

83.61% (

1.77)

16.39% (

-1.77)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.65% (

0.36)

53.35% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.13% (

0.23)

86.87% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 86.95%

Troyes 4.07%

Draw 8.96%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Troyes
3-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.64) 4-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.32) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.7) 5-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.42) 4-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.23) 5-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.3) 6-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.25) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.09) 7-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.23) 5-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.11) 7-1 @ 1% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.77% Total : 86.95%	1-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.56% Total : 8.96%	1-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.46% Total : 4.07%